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Few have explained this dichotomy better than Emanuel Derman, a former top Goldman Sachs executive and now a professor at Columbia University, and someone who as a leading quant has spent a big chunk of his professional life trying to determine whether the markets are mathematically tamable Derman, who has a PhD in physics and is a globally revered expert, once offered the following beautifully stated clari cations: It s not that physics is better, but rather that nance is harder In physics you are playing against God, and He doesn t change His laws very often In nance, you are playing against God s creatures, agents who value assets based on their ephemeral opinions That is, while accurate modeling and forecasting may be possible (and, naturally, desirable) in the physical world, they are likely to be impossible (and possibly entirely undesirable) in the nancial world.

They then added the features of WML that could not be found in XHTML. These included navigation aids, onenter events, contexts, and other features (both elements and attributes). In true XML fashion, these were placed in an XML namespace and could be used by putting wml: in front of the command. The combined XHTML Mobile Profile plus WML namespace is WML 2 (see Figure A2). This, as far as usability is concerned, was the best possible solution. CSS gave control over fonts and layout. Designers could control cache, assist navigation, and have multiple non-link commands on a page using the WML namespace. Enter politics. The wrong person made an off-the-cuff remark in front of the wrong people, and some of the Alliance members who wanted the mobile web to be just like the desktop web took the comment to heart. The Open Mobile Alliance, led by Nokia and NTT DoCoMo, determined that the WML namespace was just for backward compatibility . Once this decision was made, the one to make the WML namespace optional quickly followed. The Open Mobile Alliance decided that since the WML features were for backward compatibility, then a device could be WML 2 compliant either if it read WML 2, or if it read XHTML Mobile Profile pages and WML 1.x decks. There was no need to be able to read WML tags in the XHTML document.

The eventual level of asset prices will depend on the actions of millions of individual investors, constantly buying and selling Can anybody honestly claim to be able to register such behavior with a few equations Who knows why and when people would revert to dumping an asset, or to accumulate it Can any type of math capture those wild spirits Where will the yield curve be tomorrow That will depend on bond prices, which in turn depend on the actions of people buying and selling bonds Where will stock prices be next week That will depend solely on human action, too Where will the dollar be next month Supply and demand Can we really aspire to predict those actions Seems far-fetched, and Derman agrees: No mathematical model can capture the intricacies of human psychology.

Figure 8.4a Performance of the architectures with no cloning. D = 200 ms, MsgSz(L) = 4800 Bytes, S1 = 10 ms, S2 = 15 ms (from Abdul-Fatah, I. and Majumdar, S. (2002) Performance of CORBA-Based Client-Server Architectures. IEEE Transactions on Parallel & Distributed Systems, 13(2), 111 127.)

Watching people put too much faith in the power of formalism and mathematics, I saw that if you listen to the models siren song for too long, you may end up on the rocks or in the whirpool Physicists can search for truth because in the physical world truth really exists Once one of nature s explicitly mechanical laws is discovered by a clever scientist, it can be relied upon not to change Ever But there are no immutable laws when it comes to the values of nancial assets No permanent rules set at the time of genesis No divine inevitability In nance, there is no truth A new reality is created every minute through the unpredictable actions of utility-seeking humans.

Let Derman deliver the nal nail in the cof n: As a physicist, when you propose a model of Nature, you are pretending you can guess the structure created by God Perhaps it is possible because God doesn t pretend But as a quant, when you propose a new model of value, you are pretending you can guess the structure created by other people As you say that to yourself, if you are honest,.